March 17, 2025

Midday Market Roundup for Monday, March 17, 2025

Hello, everyone. Let's examine the top four financial and global economic news stories for March 17, 2025, as of midday.

U.S. Stock Futures Decline Amid Economic Uncertainty

U.S. stock index futures declined on Monday, driven by concerns over a potential economic slowdown. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's comments on Sunday heightened these worries, as he noted there are "no guarantees" against a recession. President Donald Trump's tariff policies have compounded this uncertainty, increasing apprehensions about a trade-induced recession. Mike Dolan, Editor at Reuters, highlighted that ongoing economic policy changes continue to unsettle investors, particularly as the Federal Reserve prepares for its upcoming meeting. This decline in stock futures could potentially have a significant impact on the market, making it a crucial development to monitor.

OECD Downgrades Global Growth Forecast

The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) has revised its forecast for 2025 global growth downward to 3.1%, citing higher trade barriers and increased policy uncertainty. This revision reflects economic weakness, including slower growth and sticky inflation. The OECD's report underscores the challenges posed by trade tensions and geopolitical instability, which are impacting investment and household spending.

Oil Prices Reach Two-Week High

Oil prices have surged to a two-week peak, supported by supply constraints and geopolitical tensions. Despite this rise,U.S. stock futures remain under pressure due to broader economic concerns. Reuters noted that while oil prices are rising, the overall market sentiment remains cautious, reflecting ongoing uncertainties in the global economy. This caution in the market sentiment should serve as a reminder to all investors to remain alert and vigilant in their decision-making.

U.S. Retail Sales Under Scrutiny

Today's U.S. retail sales report is under intense scrutiny, as it could provide crucial insights into consumer spending trends. The report comes after a weather-induced slump in January, with high expectations for a robust recovery. However, recent consumer sentiment surveys have shown increased concerns about inflation and tariffs, which could impact retail performance. Vishal Khanduja of Morgan Stanley Investment Management emphasized the importance of concrete economic data in validating market outlooks.

In summary, today's financial landscape is uncertain and volatile, driven by geopolitical tensions, economic concerns, and regulatory ambiguity. As we move forward, monitoring these developments closely for their potential impact on global markets will be crucial.

Sources:

• Mike Dolan, Editor at Reuters, on global market dynamics and economic policy impacts.

• OECD, on revised global growth forecasts.

• Reuters, on oil market trends and supply-demand dynamics.

• Vishal Khanduja of Morgan Stanley Investment Management on economic data and market outlooks.

Disclosure:

This article provides general information about current financial and global economic news. It is not intended to be personalized investment advice or a solicitation to buy or sell securities. The information herein is based on publicly available data and should not be considered investment recommendations.

Important Disclosures:

1. No Compensation Received: No compensation was received from any individual or entity for the preparation or publication of this article.

2. No Client Relationship: The author has no client relationship with any individuals or entities mentioned in this article.

3. No Conflicts of Interest: No known conflicts of interest exist between the author and any individuals or entities mentioned in this article.

4. General Information Only: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon for making investment decisions. Readers are advised to consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

5. No Endorsements: Including any names or sources in this article does not constitute an endorsement of their views or opinions.

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the opinions of any organization or individual mentioned. The information provided is subject to change and may not reflect the current market situation.

Sources:

1. Mike Dolan on U.S. Stock Futures Decline

https://www.reuters.com/markets/us/futures-slip-treasury-secretarys-comments-eyes-upcoming-fed-meet-2025-03-17/

2. OECD on Global Growth Forecast

https://www.upi.com/Top_News/World-News/2025/03/17/France-OECD-issues-global-growth-warning/5301742212377/

3. Reuters on Oil Prices

https://www.reuters.com/markets/us/global-markets-view-usa-2025-03-17/

4. Vishal Khanduja on U.S. Retail Sales

https://www.cnbc.com/2025/03/14/stock-market-next-week-outlook-for-march-17-21-2025.html

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