Good afternoon. Here are the top four global financial and economic topics shaping markets at midday, Thursday, April 24, 2025:
1. Markets Waver as Tariff Policy Uncertainty Continues
Stock markets showed little direction today as investors navigated shifting signals from the Trump administration on tariffs and Federal Reserve leadership. After a brief rally on Wednesday, the S&P 500 and STOXX Europe 600 slipped about 0.2%. President Trump’s recent criticism and subsequent support of Fed Chair Jerome Powell and conflicting reports about potential tariff reductions on Chinese imports have left investors uncertain. China’s commerce ministry reiterated that the U.S. should remove all unilateral tariffs if it seeks to resolve the trade dispute. However, there is hope on the horizon as trade discussions between Japan and the U.S. were announced later this month, leading to a 0.5% rise in Japan's Nikkei (Reuters; Wall Street Journal).
2. U.S. Corporate Earnings Remain Mixed
U.S. companies continue to report a mix of stronger-than-expected profits and cautious outlooks. ServiceNow shares jumped 14% after the AI platform company delivered robust results and an optimistic subscription revenue forecast. Southwest Airlines also reported better-than-expected earnings but withdrew some financial guidance due to ongoing trade uncertainty. The S&P 500, a beacon of optimism, was up 1.3% by midday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average and Nasdaq also higher. However, many CEOs remain cautious about the economic outlook given the unpredictable trade environment (Columbian/AP).
3. IMF Lowers Global and U.S. Growth Projections
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) released its latest World Economic Outlook, projecting global growth at 2.8% for 2025, a cumulative downgrade from earlier forecasts. U.S. growth is expected at 1.8% for the year, with nearly half of the downward revision attributed to recent tariffs. The IMF noted that while the U.S. economy remains fundamentally strong, consumer confidence and spending are weakening, and the risk of recession has risen to 40%. China’s growth forecast was also downgraded, with trade tensions and deflationary pressures weighing on its outlook (IMF).
4. Commodities and Currency Markets React to Trade and Earnings
Oil prices stabilized after recent declines, with Brent crude up 1% to $66.80 a barrel as OPEC+ considers increasing output in June. Gold prices rose 1.6% to $3,340.20 an ounce, nearing Tuesday’s record high, as investors sought safety amid ongoing market uncertainty. The U.S. dollar’s rally lost steam, and Treasury yields edged lower, with the 10-year yield closing at 4.385% on Wednesday (Reuters; Wall Street Journal).
Sources
Disclosure:
The information provided in this article, including “The Impact of Political Events on Market Performance” (Source: Brookings Institution Economic Studies) and “The Future of Work: Implications for Financial Planning” (Source: World Economic Forum Future of Jobs Report), is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment, legal, or financial advice. The content is not intended as a recommendation to buy or sell any security or investment product. Readers should consult with qualified financial, legal, and tax advisors before making any investment decisions.
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